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Bitcoin Breaks Above $80,000: The Crypto Market Is Back in Motion
The cryptocurrency market has delivered one of its strongest recoveries in recent months. Bitcoin (BTCUSD) climbed above $80,000 for the first time since mid-May, gaining 23.6% over the past week—its second-best weekly performance since the beginning of 2021.
The rally extended across the market. Ethereum (ETHUSD) advanced more than 31% during the week, while Ripple (XRPUSD) surged by around 50%. At the same time, U.S. spot crypto ETFs recorded approximately $2.6 billion in net inflows, marking their strongest weekly result since last October.
What Drove the Rally?
1. Institutional investors returned. Bitcoin ETFs attracted approximately $1.9 billion in net inflows during the week, while Ethereum ETFs added nearly $700 million. The return of institutional demand has become one of the defining features of the current rally, setting it apart from previous short-lived rebounds.
2. U.S. Treasury yields declined. The U.S. Treasury expanded its long-term bond buyback program, helping ease pressure from elevated interest rates on risk assets and encouraging investors to return to cryptocurrencies.
3. The U.S. dollar weakened. A softer dollar traditionally boosts the appeal of alternative assets. In this environment, Bitcoin is increasingly being viewed alongside gold as an asset that may benefit from concerns about currency depreciation.
4. Short sellers were caught off guard. Before the rally, Bitcoin had spent nearly six weeks trading in a narrow range, with many traders expecting the downtrend to continue. The breakout above resistance triggered a wave of short-covering, adding further momentum to the advance.
The technical picture has improved. Both Bitcoin and Ethereum have moved back above their 200-day moving averages, a level widely used to assess long-term market trends. Meanwhile, Ethereum has recently been outperforming Bitcoin, a pattern that often signals growing risk appetite across the broader cryptocurrency market.
According to FreshForex analysts, now that Bitcoin has established itself above $80,000, buyers continue to hold the advantage. If ETF inflows remain strong and U.S. Treasury yields continue to ease, BTC could move toward the $85,000–90,000 range. Should the current momentum persist, the market may once again begin discussing the possibility of Bitcoin returning to the $100,000 level.
FreshForex offers more than 70 cryptocurrency pairs with leverage of up to 1:100, available for trading 24/7. Choose your trading instruments and activate the 101% Drawdown Bonus on deposits of $101 or more.
The cryptocurrency market has delivered one of its strongest recoveries in recent months. Bitcoin (BTCUSD) climbed above $80,000 for the first time since mid-May, gaining 23.6% over the past week—its second-best weekly performance since the beginning of 2021.
The rally extended across the market. Ethereum (ETHUSD) advanced more than 31% during the week, while Ripple (XRPUSD) surged by around 50%. At the same time, U.S. spot crypto ETFs recorded approximately $2.6 billion in net inflows, marking their strongest weekly result since last October.
What Drove the Rally?
1. Institutional investors returned. Bitcoin ETFs attracted approximately $1.9 billion in net inflows during the week, while Ethereum ETFs added nearly $700 million. The return of institutional demand has become one of the defining features of the current rally, setting it apart from previous short-lived rebounds.
2. U.S. Treasury yields declined. The U.S. Treasury expanded its long-term bond buyback program, helping ease pressure from elevated interest rates on risk assets and encouraging investors to return to cryptocurrencies.
3. The U.S. dollar weakened. A softer dollar traditionally boosts the appeal of alternative assets. In this environment, Bitcoin is increasingly being viewed alongside gold as an asset that may benefit from concerns about currency depreciation.
4. Short sellers were caught off guard. Before the rally, Bitcoin had spent nearly six weeks trading in a narrow range, with many traders expecting the downtrend to continue. The breakout above resistance triggered a wave of short-covering, adding further momentum to the advance.
The technical picture has improved. Both Bitcoin and Ethereum have moved back above their 200-day moving averages, a level widely used to assess long-term market trends. Meanwhile, Ethereum has recently been outperforming Bitcoin, a pattern that often signals growing risk appetite across the broader cryptocurrency market.
According to FreshForex analysts, now that Bitcoin has established itself above $80,000, buyers continue to hold the advantage. If ETF inflows remain strong and U.S. Treasury yields continue to ease, BTC could move toward the $85,000–90,000 range. Should the current momentum persist, the market may once again begin discussing the possibility of Bitcoin returning to the $100,000 level.
FreshForex offers more than 70 cryptocurrency pairs with leverage of up to 1:100, available for trading 24/7. Choose your trading instruments and activate the 101% Drawdown Bonus on deposits of $101 or more.
Market Fundamental Analysis for August 26, 2026 USDJPY
Event to watch today:
15:30 EET. USD - Change in GDP quarter over quarter
USDJPY:
A month without swaps on majors! Learn more
The yen is receiving fresh fundamental support following an acceleration in inflation within Japan’s services sector. The Services Producer Price Index rose by 3.6% year on year in July, up from a revised 3.4% in June, strengthening the case for further interest rate increases by the Bank of Japan. This is important for USDJPY because expectations of faster policy tightening reduce part of the dollar’s previous interest-rate advantage.
A recent survey of economists showed a notable shift in expectations: the majority now see the possibility of the Bank of Japan raising its policy rate to 1.25% as early as September, while the market is close to fully pricing in such a move. The yen’s sensitivity is also supported by the recent joint intervention by Japan and the United States in the foreign exchange market, which keeps attention focused on excessive weakness in the Japanese currency.
There is currently no strong opposing impulse from the dollar. The US currency is trading in a narrow range ahead of the July Personal Consumption Expenditures price index and fresh Federal Reserve signals, while the latest Japanese data are strengthening expectations for the Bank of Japan. As a result, the base-case scenario allows for a decline in USDJPY if the current repricing of interest rate expectations continues.
Trading idea: SELL 159.05, SL 159.45, TP 158.15
Event to watch today:
15:30 EET. USD - Change in GDP quarter over quarter
USDJPY:
A month without swaps on majors! Learn more
The yen is receiving fresh fundamental support following an acceleration in inflation within Japan’s services sector. The Services Producer Price Index rose by 3.6% year on year in July, up from a revised 3.4% in June, strengthening the case for further interest rate increases by the Bank of Japan. This is important for USDJPY because expectations of faster policy tightening reduce part of the dollar’s previous interest-rate advantage.
A recent survey of economists showed a notable shift in expectations: the majority now see the possibility of the Bank of Japan raising its policy rate to 1.25% as early as September, while the market is close to fully pricing in such a move. The yen’s sensitivity is also supported by the recent joint intervention by Japan and the United States in the foreign exchange market, which keeps attention focused on excessive weakness in the Japanese currency.
There is currently no strong opposing impulse from the dollar. The US currency is trading in a narrow range ahead of the July Personal Consumption Expenditures price index and fresh Federal Reserve signals, while the latest Japanese data are strengthening expectations for the Bank of Japan. As a result, the base-case scenario allows for a decline in USDJPY if the current repricing of interest rate expectations continues.
Trading idea: SELL 159.05, SL 159.45, TP 158.15
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Elliott wave analysis of the market for August 27, 2026 BTCUSD
BTCUSD: BUY 79000, SL 78000, TP 83000.
A month without swaps on majors!
Bitcoin's continued growth is slightly delayed. The price decided to correct a bit, which led to a slight decline into the previous correction range.
From here, buyer activity begins to show again. The price is attempting to rise, and if this plan materializes, we will see an update of the local maximum.
This movement is caused by the formation of an extending wave (iii), in which the development of the internal wave 3 is completing.
Thus, the price has all chances for continued impulsive growth in the near future, so it is recommended to consider opening buy positions at current market prices.
Investment idea: BUY 79000, SL 78000, TP 83000.
BTCUSD: BUY 79000, SL 78000, TP 83000.
A month without swaps on majors!
Bitcoin's continued growth is slightly delayed. The price decided to correct a bit, which led to a slight decline into the previous correction range.
From here, buyer activity begins to show again. The price is attempting to rise, and if this plan materializes, we will see an update of the local maximum.
This movement is caused by the formation of an extending wave (iii), in which the development of the internal wave 3 is completing.
Thus, the price has all chances for continued impulsive growth in the near future, so it is recommended to consider opening buy positions at current market prices.
Investment idea: BUY 79000, SL 78000, TP 83000.
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Market Fundamental Analysis for August 28, 2026 EURUSD
Event to watch today:
17:00 EET. USD - Federal Reserve Board Chair Kevin Warsh will deliver a speech
EURUSD:
A month without swaps on majors!
The euro begins the European session near weekly lows as the market approaches Federal Reserve Chair Kevin Warsh's speech with heightened attention to inflation risks in the US. Several Fed officials recently reiterated the need to maintain a firm stance against price pressures, and the probability of a rate hike by year-end has increased. This supports the dollar and limits EURUSD recovery.
The local backdrop for the euro appears mixed. Market participants are awaiting fresh data on inflation and economic activity in France, which could adjust expectations for the ECB. However, until their release, the European currency lacks a new confirmed driver capable of outweighing the dollar's strength. Current ECB policy expectations provide some support for the euro, but they do not yet alter the overall balance of the current session.
The key factor remains the market's reaction to signals from the Fed at Jackson Hole. If Warsh confirms the priority of fighting inflation and does not soften rate expectations, demand for the dollar is likely to persist. A softer rhetoric would pose a risk to this scenario, but until such a signal appears, the basic fundamental backdrop favors further decline in EURUSD.
Trading idea: SELL 1.1650, SL 1.1680, TP 1.1575
Event to watch today:
17:00 EET. USD - Federal Reserve Board Chair Kevin Warsh will deliver a speech
EURUSD:
A month without swaps on majors!
The euro begins the European session near weekly lows as the market approaches Federal Reserve Chair Kevin Warsh's speech with heightened attention to inflation risks in the US. Several Fed officials recently reiterated the need to maintain a firm stance against price pressures, and the probability of a rate hike by year-end has increased. This supports the dollar and limits EURUSD recovery.
The local backdrop for the euro appears mixed. Market participants are awaiting fresh data on inflation and economic activity in France, which could adjust expectations for the ECB. However, until their release, the European currency lacks a new confirmed driver capable of outweighing the dollar's strength. Current ECB policy expectations provide some support for the euro, but they do not yet alter the overall balance of the current session.
The key factor remains the market's reaction to signals from the Fed at Jackson Hole. If Warsh confirms the priority of fighting inflation and does not soften rate expectations, demand for the dollar is likely to persist. A softer rhetoric would pose a risk to this scenario, but until such a signal appears, the basic fundamental backdrop favors further decline in EURUSD.
Trading idea: SELL 1.1650, SL 1.1680, TP 1.1575
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The Fed Is Cornered: Markets Await the Verdict at Jackson Hole
U.S. inflation has once again forced investors to reassess their expectations for the Fed’s interest rate policy. The PCE price index — the central bank’s key inflation gauge — rose 3.7% year over year in July, while the core reading, excluding food and energy, remained at 3.3%. Both figures are still well above the Fed’s 2% target.
The market reaction has been cautious. The dollar is holding near an eight-day high, while the probability of a Fed rate hike as early as September is now estimated at around 40%. Investors are now turning their attention to Jackson Hole, where Fed Chair Kevin Warsh will speak on August 28.
The Economy Is Giving the Fed No Easy Choice
High inflation usually calls for tighter monetary policy, but the U.S. economy is simultaneously sending mixed signals.
In the second quarter, U.S. GDP grew by just 1.5% year over year. On the other hand, domestic demand proved more resilient than initially estimated, corporate profits increased, and business investment continues to receive support from massive spending on artificial intelligence.
As a result, the Fed has to choose between two risks: another rate hike could slow the economy even further, while a policy that is too accommodative could allow inflation to remain significantly above the target level.
Everything Now Depends on Jackson Hole
The key event will be Kevin Warsh’s speech on August 28. Above all, the market will be looking for an answer to one question: how seriously is the Fed prepared to fight inflation if price growth remains around its current levels?
A more hawkish tone could strengthen the dollar and push U.S. Treasury yields higher. For #SP500 and #NQ100, such a scenario would create additional pressure, as higher interest rates make borrowing more expensive and reduce the appeal of growth stocks.
If the Fed Chair instead signals that another rate hike can be avoided, the market reaction could be the opposite — the dollar could come under pressure, while stock indexes could receive support.
According to FreshForex analysts, the Fed is unlikely to give the market a reason to expect an imminent policy easing: inflation at 3.7% remains too high, making a signal of persistently high rates and a willingness to raise them again if inflation fails to slow the most likely scenario. For traders, this means a stronger dollar and increased downside risk for #SP500 and #NQ100, particularly the technology sector, which is the most sensitive to expensive financing.
U.S. inflation has once again forced investors to reassess their expectations for the Fed’s interest rate policy. The PCE price index — the central bank’s key inflation gauge — rose 3.7% year over year in July, while the core reading, excluding food and energy, remained at 3.3%. Both figures are still well above the Fed’s 2% target.
The market reaction has been cautious. The dollar is holding near an eight-day high, while the probability of a Fed rate hike as early as September is now estimated at around 40%. Investors are now turning their attention to Jackson Hole, where Fed Chair Kevin Warsh will speak on August 28.
The Economy Is Giving the Fed No Easy Choice
High inflation usually calls for tighter monetary policy, but the U.S. economy is simultaneously sending mixed signals.
In the second quarter, U.S. GDP grew by just 1.5% year over year. On the other hand, domestic demand proved more resilient than initially estimated, corporate profits increased, and business investment continues to receive support from massive spending on artificial intelligence.
As a result, the Fed has to choose between two risks: another rate hike could slow the economy even further, while a policy that is too accommodative could allow inflation to remain significantly above the target level.
Everything Now Depends on Jackson Hole
The key event will be Kevin Warsh’s speech on August 28. Above all, the market will be looking for an answer to one question: how seriously is the Fed prepared to fight inflation if price growth remains around its current levels?
A more hawkish tone could strengthen the dollar and push U.S. Treasury yields higher. For #SP500 and #NQ100, such a scenario would create additional pressure, as higher interest rates make borrowing more expensive and reduce the appeal of growth stocks.
If the Fed Chair instead signals that another rate hike can be avoided, the market reaction could be the opposite — the dollar could come under pressure, while stock indexes could receive support.
According to FreshForex analysts, the Fed is unlikely to give the market a reason to expect an imminent policy easing: inflation at 3.7% remains too high, making a signal of persistently high rates and a willingness to raise them again if inflation fails to slow the most likely scenario. For traders, this means a stronger dollar and increased downside risk for #SP500 and #NQ100, particularly the technology sector, which is the most sensitive to expensive financing.
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Market Fundamental Analysis for August 31, 2026 GBPUSD
GBPUSD:
A month without swaps on majors!
The pound maintains support from the UK's inflationary backdrop, but fails to regain ground against the strengthening US dollar. Rising inflation expectations among British consumers reduce the likelihood of imminent easing by the Bank of England, while simultaneously highlighting the risk that high prices will continue to weigh on domestic demand and economic activity.
Earlier expectations of a rate hike by the Bank of England helped GBPUSD rise to multi-month highs, so a significant portion of this factor has already been priced in by the market. Attention has now shifted to the relative hawkishness of the two central banks. Following signals from the Federal Reserve indicating its readiness to continue fighting inflation, US bond yields have risen, and the probability of a September rate increase has noticeably increased.
Within the current session, the dollar's momentum appears stronger than local arguments supporting the pound. The British currency may receive support from persistent inflation, but renewed growth will require new data reinforcing expectations of Bank of England action. Until such confirmation appears, rate hikes in the US and cautious demand for safe-haven assets create conditions for further GBPUSD decline.
Trade idea: SELL 1.35420, SL 1.35870, TP 1.34340
GBPUSD:
A month without swaps on majors!
The pound maintains support from the UK's inflationary backdrop, but fails to regain ground against the strengthening US dollar. Rising inflation expectations among British consumers reduce the likelihood of imminent easing by the Bank of England, while simultaneously highlighting the risk that high prices will continue to weigh on domestic demand and economic activity.
Earlier expectations of a rate hike by the Bank of England helped GBPUSD rise to multi-month highs, so a significant portion of this factor has already been priced in by the market. Attention has now shifted to the relative hawkishness of the two central banks. Following signals from the Federal Reserve indicating its readiness to continue fighting inflation, US bond yields have risen, and the probability of a September rate increase has noticeably increased.
Within the current session, the dollar's momentum appears stronger than local arguments supporting the pound. The British currency may receive support from persistent inflation, but renewed growth will require new data reinforcing expectations of Bank of England action. Until such confirmation appears, rate hikes in the US and cautious demand for safe-haven assets create conditions for further GBPUSD decline.
Trade idea: SELL 1.35420, SL 1.35870, TP 1.34340
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Elliott wave analysis of the market for September 1, 2026 BTCUSD
BTCUSD: BUY 79200, SL 77000, TP 85000.
A month without swaps on majors!
No significantly important changes occurred over the past day. The price traded at the same price levels throughout this time.
However, some interesting developments have emerged. The decline has been halted, and Bitcoin is attempting to start rising.
Most likely, buyer activity will increase in the near future, leading to another strong bullish wave. This is driven by the formation of wave 5 of (iii) extension within the third impulse wave.
Thus, entering long positions in this situation remains a quite promising trading decision.
Investment idea: BUY 79200, SL 77000, TP 85000.
BTCUSD: BUY 79200, SL 77000, TP 85000.
A month without swaps on majors!
No significantly important changes occurred over the past day. The price traded at the same price levels throughout this time.
However, some interesting developments have emerged. The decline has been halted, and Bitcoin is attempting to start rising.
Most likely, buyer activity will increase in the near future, leading to another strong bullish wave. This is driven by the formation of wave 5 of (iii) extension within the third impulse wave.
Thus, entering long positions in this situation remains a quite promising trading decision.
Investment idea: BUY 79200, SL 77000, TP 85000.
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Weekly Review: XAUUSD, #SP500, #BRENT | 4 September 2026
XAUUSD: SELL 4455.00, SL 4505.00, TP 4335.00
Gold begins the week after a sharp decline triggered by reassessment of Fed policy prospects. The probability of a September rate hike has increased, US bond yields have risen, and dollar strength reduces the attractiveness of the metal, which does not generate interest income.
Geopolitical tensions support safe-haven demand and may limit the depth of the correction. However, a sustained recovery will require easing of Fed rate expectations or weaker US labor market data. Until this happens, monetary factors retain their advantage and support the scenario for further XAUUSD decline.
Trade Idea: SELL 4455.00, SL 4505.00, TP 4335.00
#SP500: SELL 7697, SL 7757, TP 7547
The US stock market enters the week under pressure from rising yields and increased probability of a Fed rate hike. Expensive oil intensifies inflation concerns, while higher borrowing costs may reduce the attractiveness of highly valued stocks, particularly in the technology sector.
Focus will be on employment data and new corporate earnings. A strong labor market can strengthen expectations of policy tightening, while weak figures would ease pressure on the index. Until confirmation of a shift in expectations is received, the combination of high rates and geopolitical uncertainty keeps the priority on a #SP500 decline.
Trade Idea: SELL 7697, SL 7757, TP 7547
#BRENT: BUY 89.80, SL 87.80, TP 94.60
Brent receives support due to renewed tensions around the Strait of Hormuz, through which a significant portion of global oil trade passes. Military actions near this key route increase the risk of supply disruptions and bring geopolitical premiums back into quotes, despite dollar strength.
Increased production and partial restoration of sea shipments may limit price rises. The market will also continue to assess inventory levels and demand prospects against the backdrop of tight Fed policy. However, as long as negotiations to stabilize the situation yield no results, the risk of supply disruption remains the main factor and supports the buying scenario for #BRENT.
Trade Idea: BUY 89.80, SL 87.80, TP 94.60
XAUUSD: SELL 4455.00, SL 4505.00, TP 4335.00
Gold begins the week after a sharp decline triggered by reassessment of Fed policy prospects. The probability of a September rate hike has increased, US bond yields have risen, and dollar strength reduces the attractiveness of the metal, which does not generate interest income.
Geopolitical tensions support safe-haven demand and may limit the depth of the correction. However, a sustained recovery will require easing of Fed rate expectations or weaker US labor market data. Until this happens, monetary factors retain their advantage and support the scenario for further XAUUSD decline.
Trade Idea: SELL 4455.00, SL 4505.00, TP 4335.00
#SP500: SELL 7697, SL 7757, TP 7547
The US stock market enters the week under pressure from rising yields and increased probability of a Fed rate hike. Expensive oil intensifies inflation concerns, while higher borrowing costs may reduce the attractiveness of highly valued stocks, particularly in the technology sector.
Focus will be on employment data and new corporate earnings. A strong labor market can strengthen expectations of policy tightening, while weak figures would ease pressure on the index. Until confirmation of a shift in expectations is received, the combination of high rates and geopolitical uncertainty keeps the priority on a #SP500 decline.
Trade Idea: SELL 7697, SL 7757, TP 7547
#BRENT: BUY 89.80, SL 87.80, TP 94.60
Brent receives support due to renewed tensions around the Strait of Hormuz, through which a significant portion of global oil trade passes. Military actions near this key route increase the risk of supply disruptions and bring geopolitical premiums back into quotes, despite dollar strength.
Increased production and partial restoration of sea shipments may limit price rises. The market will also continue to assess inventory levels and demand prospects against the backdrop of tight Fed policy. However, as long as negotiations to stabilize the situation yield no results, the risk of supply disruption remains the main factor and supports the buying scenario for #BRENT.
Trade Idea: BUY 89.80, SL 87.80, TP 94.60
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Fundamental Market Analysis for September 2, 2026 USDJPY
Event to watch today:
15:15 EET. USD - ADP Employment Change
USDJPY:
A month without swaps on majors!
USDJPY remains above the 160 mark as rising US Treasury yields and stronger expectations of an Fed rate hike support the dollar. The significant interest rate differential between the two countries maintains the attractiveness of carry trades, while higher oil prices further worsen conditions for Japan's import-dependent economy.
Support for the yen comes from statements by Bank of Japan representative Hajime Takata regarding the need to flexibly raise rates to curb inflationary pressure. The market also expects tighter policy from the regulator in September. However, these expectations have not yet provided sustained strengthening of the Japanese currency, as US yields rise alongside Japanese bond yields.
The main risk to pair growth remains the possibility of new actions by Japanese authorities following recent joint intervention by Japan and the US. Official concern about yen weakness could limit upside potential and trigger a sharp correction. Nevertheless, until confirmed measures appear, the combination of strong dollar momentum, elevated oil prices, and wide rate differentials continues to favor the USDJPY bullish scenario.
Trading idea: BUY 160.27, SL 159.87, TP 161.27
Event to watch today:
15:15 EET. USD - ADP Employment Change
USDJPY:
A month without swaps on majors!
USDJPY remains above the 160 mark as rising US Treasury yields and stronger expectations of an Fed rate hike support the dollar. The significant interest rate differential between the two countries maintains the attractiveness of carry trades, while higher oil prices further worsen conditions for Japan's import-dependent economy.
Support for the yen comes from statements by Bank of Japan representative Hajime Takata regarding the need to flexibly raise rates to curb inflationary pressure. The market also expects tighter policy from the regulator in September. However, these expectations have not yet provided sustained strengthening of the Japanese currency, as US yields rise alongside Japanese bond yields.
The main risk to pair growth remains the possibility of new actions by Japanese authorities following recent joint intervention by Japan and the US. Official concern about yen weakness could limit upside potential and trigger a sharp correction. Nevertheless, until confirmed measures appear, the combination of strong dollar momentum, elevated oil prices, and wide rate differentials continues to favor the USDJPY bullish scenario.
Trading idea: BUY 160.27, SL 159.87, TP 161.27
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Analysis of margin levels for September 3, 2026 XAUUSD
XAUUSD: SELL 4341.46-4399.06, TP1-4283.86, TP2-4133.66.
A month without swaps on majors!
Long-term trend: long. The maximum accumulation of volumes for the current contract is located in the range of quotes 4400.00–4430.00. Currently, investment operations on XAUUSD are being carried out within the specified range, which indicates temporary uncertainty.
Medium-term trend: short. The maximum accumulation of volumes for the medium-term trend is located in the ranges of quotes 4590.00-4610.00 and 4320.00-4340.00. Currently, investment operations on XAUUSD are being carried out within the specified range, which indicates temporary uncertainty.
The area of favorable prices for selling from the point of view of margin support is located between zones 1/4 and 1/2 built from the minimum of 02.09.2026.
Quote of the lower boundary of zone 1/4–4341.46.
Quote of the lower boundary of zone 1/2–4399.06.
Intraday targets: update of the minimums from 02.09.2026–4283.86.
Medium-term targets: test of the lower boundary of the GWCZ–4133.66.
Trading recommendations: sales from the range of favorable prices when forming a reversal pattern.
Sell: 4341.46-4399.06, Take Profit 1–4283.86, Take Profit 2–4133.66.
XAUUSD: SELL 4341.46-4399.06, TP1-4283.86, TP2-4133.66.
A month without swaps on majors!
Long-term trend: long. The maximum accumulation of volumes for the current contract is located in the range of quotes 4400.00–4430.00. Currently, investment operations on XAUUSD are being carried out within the specified range, which indicates temporary uncertainty.
Medium-term trend: short. The maximum accumulation of volumes for the medium-term trend is located in the ranges of quotes 4590.00-4610.00 and 4320.00-4340.00. Currently, investment operations on XAUUSD are being carried out within the specified range, which indicates temporary uncertainty.
The area of favorable prices for selling from the point of view of margin support is located between zones 1/4 and 1/2 built from the minimum of 02.09.2026.
Quote of the lower boundary of zone 1/4–4341.46.
Quote of the lower boundary of zone 1/2–4399.06.
Intraday targets: update of the minimums from 02.09.2026–4283.86.
Medium-term targets: test of the lower boundary of the GWCZ–4133.66.
Trading recommendations: sales from the range of favorable prices when forming a reversal pattern.
Sell: 4341.46-4399.06, Take Profit 1–4283.86, Take Profit 2–4133.66.
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Aug 25, 2026 17:02